# 4 tech predictions for 2026

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zs5BlC0ws4o
Recap page: https://rapidrecap.app/video/zs5BlC0ws4o
Generated: 2025-12-26T15:04:19.305+00:00

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## Quick Overview

The creator predicts five major tech shifts for 2026, including the mainstream adoption of humanoid robots in factories (TRUE), the commercial viability of Silicon-Carbon Anode batteries (FAIL), the launch of Apple's foldable iPhone at $1,999 (TRUE), significant growth in Linux gaming adoption, especially after the Windows 10 end-of-life (TRUE), and increased geopolitical tension leading to EU/Canada switching from US tech (TRUE).

**Key Points:**
- Humanoid robots will become much more common in factories, specifically being used by BMW and Hyundai (TRUE).
- Silicon-Carbon Anode batteries will fail to become a mainstream technology in the West by 2025, despite initial optimism (FAIL).
- Apple will launch a foldable iPhone in 2026, likely a book-style design costing $1,999, which will be highly marketable due to Apple's strong design focus (TRUE).
- Linux gaming market share will grow significantly, surpassing 5.5% by the end of 2026, driven by factors like the Steam Deck's success and anticipated anti-cheat compatibility (TRUE).
- Geopolitical tensions will cause the EU, Canada, Japan, and Australia to actively switch data storage and government functions away from US cloud services and tech (TRUE).

![Screenshot at 00:06: The creator displays previous prediction thumbnails for 2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024, setting the stage for reviewing the accuracy of their yearly forecasts.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-00-06.jpg)

**Context:** The video features a creator reviewing their tech predictions made at the end of the previous year for the upcoming year (2026), evaluating which ones came true, which failed, and which were partially correct. The creator uses visual evidence from tech news and product announcements to validate or disqualify their past forecasts.

## Detailed Analysis

The creator reviews five tech predictions made for 2026, checking them against current events and evidence. The first prediction, that humanoid robots would become common in factories between 2024-2025, is marked TRUE, showing Boston Dynamics' Figure robots being used by BMW and Hyundai, and Intel's 18A process manufacturing succeeding in bringing production in-house. The second prediction, that Silicon-Carbon Anode batteries would arrive in the West and gain traction, is marked FAIL, as the creator suggests the technology did not materialize as expected. The third prediction, concerning Apple's foldable iPhone launching in 2026 for $1,999 with a crease-free, book-style design, is marked TRUE, supported by rumor sites suggesting a 2026 release with advanced material casing. The fourth prediction focused on Linux gaming growing its Steam market share from 1.02% (with the Steam Deck launch) to 5.5% by 2026, which the creator suggests is trending toward being TRUE due to sustained growth past 3.2%. The final, fifth prediction was that geopolitical factors would cause the EU, Canada, Japan, and Australia to aggressively switch data storage and government functions away from US cloud services, leading to political pushback against US tech dominance, which the creator believes is also likely TRUE.

### Reviewing 2025 Predictions

- Humanoid robots in factories - TRUE
- Silicon-Carbon Anode batteries in the West - FAIL
- Apple foldable iPhone launch - TRUE
- Linux gaming market share growth - TRUE
- EU/Canada switching from US tech - TRUE

### Humanoid Robots in Industry

- Figure robots are shown being used in a factory setting by BMW and Hyundai; Intel's 18A manufacturing process successfully brings production in-house (00:23, 03:34, 04:46).

### Battery Technology

- The prediction that Silicon-Carbon Anode batteries would gain traction in the West by 2025 is marked as a FAIL (06:56).

### Apple Foldable iPhone

- Predicted to launch in 2026 for $1,999 with a book-style, crease-free design, leveraging Apple's strong design focus (08:13, 08:38).

### Linux Gaming Growth

- Predicted to grow from 1.02% Steam market share in 2022 to 5.5% by 2026, fueled by devices like the Steam Deck (11:43, 11:55).

### Geopolitical Tech Shift

- Prediction that the EU, Canada, Japan, and Australia would actively move government functions away from US cloud services due to political pressure (13:59, 14:30).

### Conclusion and Call to Action

- The creator summarizes the mixed results and promotes their Nebula subscription and Patreon (17:49, 17:55, 18:19).

![Screenshot at 00:06: The creator displays previous prediction thumbnails for 2020, 2021, 2023, and 2024, setting the stage for reviewing the accuracy of their yearly forecasts.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-00-06.jpg)
![Screenshot at 00:24: A graphic overlay confirms the prediction regarding humanoid robots in factories between 2024-2025 as TRUE \(00:24\).](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-00-24.jpg)
![Screenshot at 03:12: A graph from Statista shows the market share distribution for AMD vs. Intel CPUs, illustrating the trend of Intel slowly declining \(03:12\).](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-03-12.jpg)
![Screenshot at 06:28: A bar chart shows the Total AIB \(Add-in-Board\) share, illustrating Nvidia gaining 1% market share by Q3'25, while Intel remains at 0% \(06:28\).](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-06-28.jpg)
![Screenshot at 17:55: An advertisement slide offers a 50% discount on Nebula subscriptions, showing the annual price dropping from $60 to $30 \(17:55\).](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/zs5BlC0ws4o/00-17-55.jpg)
