# Here’s what’s actually going on

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKuGlDClBeU
Recap page: https://rapidrecap.app/video/yKuGlDClBeU
Generated: 2025-12-11T17:44:38.353+00:00

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## Quick Overview

The Facebook ad serving algorithm prioritizes user value based on an auction system that multiplies the advertiser's bid by the quality/relevance score and estimated action rate/user value, meaning engagement (likes, saves, shares) drives lower costs (CPMs) and higher efficiency, effectively making ad creative the primary targeting mechanism, especially as interest targeting declines in 2024.

**Key Points:**
- The Facebook ad serving algorithm functions as an auction system where ad ranking is determined by a formula involving Bid x (Quality & Relevance Score) x (Estimated Action Rate & User Value).
- High engagement metrics like likes, saves, and shares directly drive lower ad costs (CPMs) and increase overall ad efficiency.
- In 2024, creative content becomes the primary targeting mechanism because interest targeting is effectively dead and being removed from Facebook.
- The speaker has spent over $150 million on Facebook ads in the last 10 years and made every mistake possible.
- Restricting ad delivery by narrow demographics (e.g., only targeting females or only 50+) excludes potential incremental conversions from other groups (e.g., males or ages 18-50).
- Facebook knows user location and who they spend time with, which contributes to the data used for ad serving, fueling conspiracy theories about listening in on conversations.
- When optimizing campaigns, choosing 'purchase' as the objective directs the algorithm to find people most likely to buy, whereas optimizing for 'traffic and clicks' finds people who only click.

![Screenshot at 01:30: The speaker points upward while explaining that where an ad ranks within the ad serving algorithm comes down to one basic formula, setting up the explanation of the core calculation.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-01-30.png)

**Context:** This video features a speaker, who claims to have spent over $150 million on Facebook ads over the last decade, aiming to expose the core mechanics of the Facebook ad serving algorithm. He addresses common user suspicions, such as Facebook listening to conversations, and transitions into explaining the mathematical formula that determines ad placement and cost within the platform's auction system, emphasizing the shift in importance from traditional interest targeting to creative quality.

## Detailed Analysis

The speaker breaks down the Facebook ad serving algorithm, stating that ad ranking is determined by a basic formula in an auction-based system: Advertiser's Bid multiplied by the Quality and Relevance Score, multiplied by the Estimated Action Rate and User Value. He notes that he has spent over $150 million on ads and has learned from many mistakes. He addresses privacy concerns, noting that while he cannot confirm Facebook listens to conversations, the massive amount of data and databases Facebook accesses, including location and social proximity, leads to uncanny ad relevance. He stresses that engagement metrics—likes, saves, comments, and shares—are crucial because higher engagement drives lower advertising costs (CPMs) and increases ad efficiency. Furthermore, he asserts that in 2024, creative content is the new targeting, as interest targeting is obsolete and being removed; therefore, creative drives everything. He illustrates the pitfalls of narrow targeting, noting that excluding demographics like males or age groups 18-50, even if the core demographic (e.g., 50+ females) yields high immediate conversions, means missing out on potential incremental conversions from the excluded segments. Finally, he distinguishes optimization goals: choosing 'purchase' optimizes for buyers, while choosing 'traffic and clicks' only finds people who click but do not necessarily convert.

### Algorithm Mechanics

- Ad ranking depends on Bid x (Quality/Relevance Score) x (Estimated Action Rate/User Value) in an auction system
- User value is dependent on how much they buy on the platform.

### Data & Privacy

- Facebook uses mass data and databases, knows location and social circles, fueling conspiracy theories about listening in on conversations.

### Efficiency Levers

- Engagement (likes, saves, shares) drives lower cost (CPMs) and makes ads more efficient.

### Targeting Evolution (2024)

- Creative is the new targeting because interest targeting is dead and being removed from Facebook.

### Targeting Pitfalls

- Excluding demographics (e.g., only targeting females) excludes potential incremental conversions from other groups (e.g., males or ages 18-50).

### Optimization Goals

- Optimizing for 'purchase' finds buyers, while optimizing for 'traffic and clicks' only finds clickers.

![Screenshot at 00:05: The speaker introduces the goal of understanding the Facebook ad serving algorithm and the levers to manipulate it, referencing his $150 million in ad spend.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-00-05.png)
![Screenshot at 01:15: The speaker explains that every user has an assigned value within the auction-based system.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-01-15.png)
![Screenshot at 01:34: The speaker begins to detail the three primary components of the ad ranking formula, starting with the bid/bid cap.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-01-34.png)
![Screenshot at 02:06: The speaker declares that in 2024, creative is the targeting, and interest targeting is dead/being removed from Facebook.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-02-06.png)
![Screenshot at 02:52: The speaker emphasizes that the more engagement \(likes, saves, comments, shares\) an ad receives, the more efficient it becomes, leading to lower CPMs.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/yKuGlDClBeU/00-02-52.png)
