# How AI will (probably) make your new business fail | Noemi Kis | TEDxKULeuvenBrussels

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgXWzWbcu4c
Recap page: https://rapidrecap.app/video/hgXWzWbcu4c
Generated: 2026-03-03T01:32:44.359+00:00

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## Quick Overview

The premise that Artificial Intelligence (AI) will make starting a new business easy is flawed because relying solely on technology without understanding the core problem leads to failure, as demonstrated by the speaker's experience of launching a tech-heavy but substance-lacking water filtration business.

**Key Points:**
- The speaker moved to America at 15, dreaming of starting a business, but found the traditional path demanding significant time, money, and technical expertise.
- Even with AI advancements, which make creating things like websites or email lists instantly possible, the speaker asserts that many new businesses still fail at record numbers (two out of ten new businesses fail within the first year).
- The speaker’s first business, distributing water filtration products in the industrial sector, failed despite significant effort (cold calls, trade shows) because it lacked substance and she failed to talk to customers.
- In her second business, she used technology (like AI) extensively but still spoke to almost no customers, realizing too late that her solution was not solving a real problem for anyone.
- The speaker argues that the real difficulty in entrepreneurship is not the technical execution (which AI simplifies) but facing the fear of rejection and figuring out if anyone actually needs what you are selling.
- The failure rate for new businesses remains high (two out of ten fail in the first year, only three of ten survive after five years), indicating that technology alone does not guarantee success.
- The core challenge for entrepreneurs is to deeply understand the problem they are solving, not just rely on flashy technology or hustle culture.

![Screenshot at 00:01: The title slide for the TEDx event, featuring the theme "ORGANIZED CHAOS" illustrated by abstract lines representing chaotic thought patterns above a human silhouette, setting the stage for a discussion on managing complexity in business.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-00-01.jpg)

**Context:** Noemi Kis delivers this TEDx talk at TEDxKULeuvenBrussels, focusing on the common trap entrepreneurs fall into: over-relying on modern tools like AI without validating the core necessity of their product or service. She shares her personal journey, starting with her move to America at age 15 with entrepreneurial dreams, and recounts the failures of her first two businesses where she invested heavily in execution (technology, marketing) but neglected crucial customer interaction.

## Detailed Analysis

Noemi Kis argues that despite the democratization of business setup tools like AI, starting a successful business remains difficult because entrepreneurs often focus on the 'how' (technology, hustle) instead of the 'why' (solving a real problem). She recounts moving to America at 15, driven to start a business, and the subsequent struggles of her first venture distributing water filtration products, where she spent time cold-calling and attending trade shows but never spoke to a customer to understand their need. In her second venture, she used technology, including early AI, to build a seemingly professional operation (website, email lists, remote programmers), but still failed because she didn't validate the problem first. She highlights statistics showing that two out of ten new businesses fail in the first year, and only three survive five years, suggesting that high failure rates persist despite technological ease. Kis concludes that the true challenge is not finding shortcuts or building fancy tools, but having the courage to face rejection and dig deep to understand if anyone actually needs the solution being offered, emphasizing that if you create something that matters, you will never have to fake its necessity again.

### Personal Journey and The Myth of Easy Start

- Arrived in America at 15 dreaming of starting a business
- Traditional path required time, money, and technical expertise
- First business in water filtration failed despite effort (cold calls, trade shows).

### The AI Trap

- AI makes creating websites and email lists instantly easy
- Yet, two out of ten new businesses still fail in the first year
- Second business used AI extensively but still lacked customer validation.

### The Real Challenge

- Entrepreneurs are distracted by shiny tech that makes business look easy
- The core difficulty is facing the fear of rejection and discovering if a real problem exists that your solution addresses
- Success requires going deep to find the need, not just building something that looks professional.

![Screenshot at 00:02: Graphic illustrating the talk's theme, "ORGANIZED CHAOS," showing chaotic scribbles emanating from a head silhouette, representing overwhelming thought processes.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-00-02.jpg)
![Screenshot at 00:08: Speaker Noemi Kis takes the stage at TEDxKULeuvenBrussels, standing in front of large letters spelling out the event name and the theme 'ORGANIZED CHAOS' displayed on the screens.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-00-08.jpg)
![Screenshot at 00:45: Speaker Noemi Kis gestures while describing the initial barriers to starting a business, noting that her first venture was in distributing water filtration products.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-00-45.jpg)
![Screenshot at 01:58: Wide shot of the stage showing the TEDx branding and the speaker, emphasizing the scale of the event while she discusses the high failure rates of new businesses.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-01-58.jpg)
![Screenshot at 07:09: Speaker Noemi Kis details how AirBnB succeeded by not jumping to fancy technology, but by personally talking to customers \(hosts and restaurants\) to understand their actual needs.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/hgXWzWbcu4c/00-07-09.jpg)
