# EXPERT: Israel Wants FAILED STATE In Iran Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YS-KdKvz67w Recap page: https://rapidrecap.app/video/YS-KdKvz67w Generated: 2026-03-02T21:33:39.803+00:00 --- ## Quick Overview The assassination of Ayatollah Khomeini was celebrated by many Iranians in the West, such as in New York City, who sent messages to Donald Trump, while protests inside Iran, like those in Besat Town, were brutally suppressed, leading to a situation where the Islamic Republic's leadership is arguably more entrenched, but facing significant internal and external pressures, including the possibility of an Israeli-backed coup or a war, which might ultimately lead to the regime's collapse, a scenario some fear could result in mass executions. **Key Points:** - Iranians in Western cities like London, Paris, and Vancouver celebrated the assassination of Ayatollah Khomeini, sending messages of thanks to Donald Trump. - Protests inside Iran, such as those seen in Besat Town, faced brutal repression from the regime. - Ayatollah Khamenei's successor, Ebrahim Raisi, was born in Mashhad and was educated among the clerical establishment, becoming a disciple of Khomeini and later holding high-ranking positions within the judiciary and Supreme National Security Council. - Raisi's legacy is twofold: promoting Iranian independence against Western imperialism and engaging in proxy wars via groups like Hezbollah and Hamas, while domestically overseeing increased repression and executions. - The potential scenario of a successful Israeli/US-backed regime change is viewed as unlikely by some experts, who suggest the Islamic Republic is deeply entrenched due to its security apparatus and support base. - The assassination of Qasem Soleimani and the subsequent regional conflict escalation, combined with domestic unrest, puts the regime under considerable stress. - The speaker suggests that the regime might survive by capitulating to external demands (like a deal similar to JCPOA) or by aggressively crushing internal dissent, but acknowledges the deep-seated opposition from a significant portion of the population. ![Screenshot at 00:14: A crowd of protesters in New York City, USA, waving Iranian flags \(the Lion and Sun flag, associated with the deposed monarchy\) and holding signs thanking Donald Trump for his stance against the Iranian regime.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-00-14.jpg) **Context:** The video discusses the political climate in Iran following the death of Ayatollah Khomeini and analyzes the legacy and actions of his successor, Ebrahim Raisi, including the reaction to Khomeini's assassination in the Iranian diaspora and the ongoing internal struggles and external pressures facing the Islamic Republic. The discussion features an interview segment with an expert, Eksandar Sadeghi, who provides context on Raisi's background and the current dynamics within Iran. ## Detailed Analysis The discussion begins by noting that the assassination of Ayatollah Khomeini was celebrated by many Iranians in the West, with demonstrations occurring in cities like London, Paris, and Vancouver, where some protesters sent messages thanking Donald Trump (00:04-00:14). Simultaneously, footage from inside Iran, specifically Besat Town, shows the regime brutally suppressing domestic protests (00:26-00:37). The conversation shifts to Ebrahim Raisi, noting he was born in Mashhad, studied among the clerical elite, and became a disciple of Khomeini, eventually rising to high office, including Speaker of the Parliament and Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (1:08-3:16). Raisi's legacy is described as dual: promoting Iranian independence against Western imperialism while simultaneously consolidating the hardline clerical power base through repression (3:26-3:38). The expert suggests that Raisi's presidency, following Khomeini's death, was heavily shaped by the Iran-Iraq War and his role as a committed system-builder, favoring conservative factions and hardening his stance against internal reform (3:45-4:59). The expert doubts that the US or Israel could easily engineer a successful regime change, arguing that the regime's security apparatus and loyalist base (like the IRGC) make it resilient, though the system is under immense stress (5:13-6:14). The ongoing conflict with Israel and the execution of Iranian officials are cited as evidence of this pressure (6:44-7:08). The speaker concludes that while the regime may survive by crushing dissent or negotiating from a position of weakness, the deep opposition suggests internal conflict will continue (7:21-7:58). ### Khomeini Assassination Reaction - Celebrations by Western Iranian diaspora thanking Trump - Protests inside Iran brutally suppressed - Regime using assassination anniversary to rally support ### Ebrahim Raisi's Background - Born in Mashhad, clerical education - Disciple of Khomeini and supporter of the Islamic Republic's founding principles - Held key judicial and security positions (e.g., Prosecutor General, Secretary of SNSC) ### Raisi's Legacy and Policy - Promoting anti-Western foreign policy (support for Hezbollah, Hamas) - Domestic repression and hardline stance - Role in mass executions and consolidation of power ### Future Outlook and Challenges - Regime faces internal dissent and external pressure from US/Israel - Regime's resilience due to security apparatus (IRGC) - Possibility of negotiations or continued internal conflict ![Screenshot at 00:00: Host introduces the topic while speaking into a professional microphone in a studio setting.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-00-00.jpg) ![Screenshot at 00:14: Iranian protesters rally in New York City, waving pre-revolution flags and expressing support for Donald Trump.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-00-14.jpg) ![Screenshot at 00:38: Aerial view of a massive crowd gathered in a square in Tehran, Iran, likely for a state-sponsored event or funeral.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-00-38.jpg) ![Screenshot at 01:07: Expert Eksandar Sadeghi appears via video call, discussing the legacy of Ayatollah Khomeini and the political dynamics in Iran.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-01-07.jpg) ![Screenshot at 07:16: The host returns to the main camera, summarizing points about the political climate following Khomeini's death.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/YS-KdKvz67w/00-07-16.jpg)