# Everyone Saw This Coming

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LykKutgORVs
Recap page: https://rapidrecap.app/video/LykKutgORVs
Generated: 2026-09-26T04:42:45.98+00:00

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## The Gist

America's hidden military intervention in Yemen evolved from targeting Al-Qaeda with targeted drone strikes into a complex, multi-layered proxy war involving local militias, secret prisons, and regional naval blockades. This permanent entanglement ultimately caused the United States to inherit the intractable geopolitical conflicts of the Middle East.

## Quick Overview

American involvement in Yemen transformed over 25 years from counterterrorism strikes into an expansive proxy war, relying on local partners, secret detention facilities, and specialized task forces like JSOC. Despite high-tech military capabilities and targeted operations, the U.S. failed to resolve the underlying political instability and instead exacerbated local grievances. Ultimately, the shadow war exposed American forces to unintended entanglement in regional conflicts, particularly as the Houthis emerged as a strategic threat in the Bab el-Mandeb strait.

**Key Points:**
- In January 2010, General David Petraeus met with Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh to establish a framework for U.S. counterterrorism operations against Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.
- On December 17, 2009, a U.S. Tomahawk missile strike using cluster munitions on the hamlet of al-Majalah killed over 40 local residents, sparking widespread controversy and parliamentary investigations.
- Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti transformed from a French Foreign Legion outpost into a massive full-time drone hub housing hundreds of special operations personnel.
- The January 29, 2017, Yakla raid carried out by Navy SEAL Team 6 resulted in the death of Chief Petty Officer William Ryan Owens and multiple civilian casualties, including children.
- Associated Press investigations in 2017 documented a network of at least 18 clandestine prisons across southern Yemen run by the United Arab Emirates where detainees faced severe torture.
- In late 2023, Houthi forces launched attacks on international commercial shipping in the Red Sea, cutting global trade through the Bab el-Mandeb strait by over 13 percent.
- By December 2024, Joint Special Operations Command took control of the air campaign against the Houthis, launching Operation Rough Rider and conducting over 1,000 target strikes.

![Screenshot at 01:00: A platoon of U.S. special operators boards an aircraft for a deployment into hostile Yemeni territory during early counterterrorism missions.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-01-00.jpg)

**Context:** Yemen has long been a strategic chokepoint bordering the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, making it vital for global maritime shipping. Following the rise of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, the United States initiated covert military operations in cooperation with the Yemeni government, setting the stage for decades of deep military entanglement.

## Detailed Analysis

The United States initially entered Yemen to hunt individual Al-Qaeda terrorists, but the intervention rapidly expanded into a multi-decade secret war. Partnering first with President Ali Abdullah Saleh and later relying on regional allies like the United Arab Emirates, Washington provided intelligence, weaponry, and tactical support for ground and air operations. Over time, these operations caused massive civilian casualties, fueled anti-American sentiment, and compromised the legitimacy of local governments. When the Houthi movement seized control of Sanaa and began launching ballistic missiles and drone attacks against commercial shipping lanes in the Red Sea, the United States found itself drawn into a much larger regional conflict, permanently entangling American military power in the Middle East.

### Origins of the Hidden War

American involvement in Yemen began as a targeted counterterrorism campaign against Al-Qaeda, driven by intelligence sharing and high-level diplomatic meetings.

- In January 2010, General David Petraeus met with Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh to coordinate U.S. military assistance and intelligence sharing against AQAP.
- The December 17, 2009, strike on al-Majalah used Tomahawk missiles loaded with cluster munitions, killing over 40 local residents alongside 14 Al-Qaeda members.
- Yemeni President Saleh publicly joked about the strikes, telling officials that his government would continue claiming responsibility for the attacks to maintain plausible deniability.

![Screenshot at 00:43: General David Petraeus and Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh meeting in January 2010 to establish counterterrorism cooperation.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-00-43.jpg)

### Camp Lemonnier and Drone Warfare

The Pentagon converted a former French outpost in Djibouti into a sprawling drone hub to sustain long-term operations over the Arabian Peninsula.

- Camp Lemonnier expanded into a full-time drone hub housing hundreds of personnel from Navy SEAL Team 6 and Delta Force.
- Military accident records revealed that base personnel routinely walked across the compound during power failures to brief drone crews.
- The base supported extensive surveillance flights, air strikes, and extraction missions throughout East Africa and the Middle East.

![Screenshot at 07:18: Aerial view of Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti, which served as the primary staging ground for U.S. drone operations in Yemen.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-07-18.jpg)

### The Yakla Raid and Civilian Casualties

High-profile special operations raids in remote Yemeni villages frequently resulted in severe tactical failures and civilian casualties.

- On January 29, 2017, a team of Navy SEALs and Emirati commandos launched a nighttime raid on the village of Yakla to retrieve computer hard drives.
- The assault force met heavy resistance from armed militants, sparking an intense firefight that killed several civilians, including children.
- Navy SEAL Chief Petty Officer William Ryan Owens was fatally wounded during the engagement, and a V-22 Osprey aircraft was badly damaged and destroyed in place.

![Screenshot at 12:47: A helicopter flying low over the rugged terrain of Yemen during the high-risk Yakla raid in January 2017.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-12-47.jpg)

### Secret Prisons and Torture

Associated Press investigations uncovered a network of clandestine detention centers run by the United Arab Emirates across southern Yemen.

- AP reporters documented at least 18 clandestine lockups located inside military bases, seaports, private villas, and nightclubs.
- Detainees suffered severe torture, including prolonged blindfolding, beatings, and hanging from rotating spits known as the grill.
- Senior U.S. defense officials acknowledged that American personnel supplied questions for interrogations and received transcripts while denying direct involvement in torture.

![Screenshot at 18:03: A news report headline detailing the network of secret prisons and torture allegations across southern Yemen.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-18-03.jpg)

### Houthi Rise and the Red Sea Blockade

The rise of the Houthi movement and their alignment with Iran transformed the geopolitical landscape of Yemen and threatened global trade.

- By 2014, Houthi forces captured the capital city of Sanaa and pushed out the internationally recognized government.
- The Houthis began launching ballistic missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia and commercial shipping vessels passing through the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
- The maritime blockade disrupted nearly 15 percent of global trade and forced shipping companies to take longer routes around the southern tip of Africa.

![Screenshot at 24:20: A cargo ship burning in the Red Sea following a missile attack carried out by Houthi forces.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-24-20.jpg)

### Operation Rough Rider and Direct U.S. Intervention

Faced with escalating Houthi attacks on commercial shipping, the United States military assumed direct command of a massive air campaign.

- In December 2024, Joint Special Operations Command took charge of the air campaign against Houthi military targets in Yemen.
- President Trump launched Operation Rough Rider in March 2025, conducting over 1,000 target strikes across 50 days.
- Despite severe degradation of Houthi military capabilities, the group retained its leadership and maintained the ability to threaten regional shipping.

![Screenshot at 27:18: Thermal imaging footage from a Reaper drone tracking a Houthi military truck prior to a U.S. strike.](https://ss.rapidrecap.app/screens/LykKutgORVs/00-27-18.jpg)

